Analytical consensus

P&L indicators (in RUB, bn)
2Q 2010
6M 2010
FY 2010
FY 2011
FY 2012
Interest income
81,8
166,8
335,1
367,7
420,7
Interest expense
(40,7)
(83,7)
(170,4)
(183,7)
(208,4)
Net interest income(1)
41,1
83,1
164,7
184,0
212,3
Net fee and commission income
6,1
11,2
26,3
34,6
44,4
Net result from financial instruments (2)
0,1
9,1
18,0
18,2
19,3
Other income
1,9
3,0
9,4
9,9
10,6
Operating income before provisions
49,2
106,3
218,4
246,6
286,5
Provision charge for impairment
(14,3)
(30,5)
(65,3)
(45,9)
(47,9)
Operating income after provisions
34,9
75,8
153,1
200,7
238,6
Staff and administrative costs
(22,7)
(45,1)
(89,6)
(102,9)
(117,1)
Profit before taxation
12,2
30,7
63,5
97,8
121,6
Tax
(2,5)
(5,7)
(12,7)
(20,1)
(25,4)
Net profit (2)
9,7
25,0
50,8
77,7
96,2

(1) Before provision for loan impairment
(2) Includes minority interest

Ratios (%)
2Q 2010
6M 2010
FY 2010
FY 2011
FY 2012
ROE (3)
7,6%
9,6%
9,6%
13,2%
14,8%
NIM (4)
5,1%
5,1%
4,8%
4,8%
4,8%
CIR (5)
46,2%
42,4%
41,1%
41,9%
40,9%
Provision charge/Average gross loan portfolio
2,1%
2,3%
2,4%
1,4%
2,0%
NPL ratio (90+ days) (6)
10,6%
10,6%
10,8%
9,5%
7,3%
Allowance for loan impairment / NPLs
96,1%
96,3%
96,2%
98,1%
99,4%

Balance sheet indicators (in RUB, bn)
         
6M 2010
FY 2010
FY 2011
FY 2012
Total gross loans
 
2 642
2 853
3 408
4 013
- Corporate loans, gross
 
2 200
2 355
2 780
3 236
- Retail loans, gross
 
442
499
628
777
Allowance for loan impairment
 
-252
-291
-326
-345
Total net loans
 
2 390
2 562
3 082
3 668
Total assets
 
3 527
3 841
4 497
5 149
Total deposits
 
1 642
1 816
2 230
2 700
- Corporate deposits
 
1 115
1 231
1 489
1 789
- Retail deposits
 
527
584
741
911
Total liabilities
 
2 998
3 294
3 881
4 453

* Notes: corporate deposits incl. state deposits
(3) Calculated using net profit and average assets / equity (all including minority interest)
(4) Net interest income divided by average interest earning assets, which include gross loans and advances to customers, due from other banks (gross) and debt securities
(5) Staff costs and administrative expenses divided by operating income before porovisions
(6) Non-performing loans (NPLs) represent impaired loans with repayments overdue by over 90 days. NPLs are calculated including the entire principal and interest payments. Ratio is calculated to total gross loans

The consensus for 6M 2010 and the years 2010-2012 is based on analytical data from 19 investment banks (Alfa Bank, Aton, Bank of America – Merrill Lynch, Bank of Moscow, Citi, Credit Suisse, Deutsche Bank, Goldman Sachs, HSBC, ING, JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, Renaissance Capital, RMG, Sovlink, TKB Capital, Troika Dialog, UBS, UniCredit, as of August 30, 2010.

The forecasts above have been provided to VTB by contributing investment analysts, and are, as such, publicly available information. The forecasts above are not, in any way, based on VTB proprietary forecasts. They are not endorsed by VTB nor does VTB assume any obligation to revise them to reflect circumstances arising after the date below.

Last updated on: 30 August 2010



Analytical consensus
Consensus_ 6M1000.pdf, 18 KB , 1 September 2010