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Analytical consensus
|
P&L indicators (in RUB, bn)
|
2Q 2010
|
6M 2010
|
FY 2010
|
FY 2011
|
FY 2012
|
|
Interest income
|
81,8
|
166,8
|
335,1
|
367,7
|
420,7
|
|
Interest expense
|
(40,7)
|
(83,7)
|
(170,4)
|
(183,7)
|
(208,4)
|
| Net interest income(1) |
41,1
|
83,1
|
164,7
|
184,0
|
212,3
|
| Net fee and commission income |
6,1
|
11,2
|
26,3
|
34,6
|
44,4
|
| Net result from financial instruments (2) |
0,1
|
9,1
|
18,0
|
18,2
|
19,3
|
| Other income |
1,9
|
3,0
|
9,4
|
9,9
|
10,6
|
| Operating income before provisions |
49,2
|
106,3
|
218,4
|
246,6
|
286,5
|
| Provision charge for impairment |
(14,3)
|
(30,5)
|
(65,3)
|
(45,9)
|
(47,9)
|
| Operating income after provisions |
34,9
|
75,8
|
153,1
|
200,7
|
238,6
|
| Staff and administrative costs |
(22,7)
|
(45,1)
|
(89,6)
|
(102,9)
|
(117,1)
|
| Profit before taxation |
12,2
|
30,7
|
63,5
|
97,8
|
121,6
|
| Tax |
(2,5)
|
(5,7)
|
(12,7)
|
(20,1)
|
(25,4)
|
| Net profit (2) |
9,7
|
25,0
|
50,8
|
77,7
|
96,2
|
(1) Before provision for loan impairment
(2) Includes minority interest
|
Ratios (%)
|
2Q 2010
|
6M 2010
|
FY 2010
|
FY 2011
|
FY 2012
|
|
ROE (3)
|
7,6%
|
9,6%
|
9,6%
|
13,2%
|
14,8%
|
|
NIM (4)
|
5,1%
|
5,1%
|
4,8%
|
4,8%
|
4,8%
|
|
CIR (5)
|
46,2%
|
42,4%
|
41,1%
|
41,9%
|
40,9%
|
|
Provision charge/Average gross loan portfolio
|
2,1%
|
2,3%
|
2,4%
|
1,4%
|
2,0%
|
|
NPL ratio (90+ days) (6)
|
10,6%
|
10,6%
|
10,8%
|
9,5%
|
7,3%
|
|
Allowance for loan impairment / NPLs
|
96,1%
|
96,3%
|
96,2%
|
98,1%
|
99,4%
|
|
Balance sheet indicators (in RUB, bn)
|
|
6M 2010
|
FY 2010
|
FY 2011
|
FY 2012
|
|
Total gross loans
|
2 642
|
2 853
|
3 408
|
4 013
| |
|
- Corporate loans, gross
|
2 200
|
2 355
|
2 780
|
3 236
| |
|
- Retail loans, gross
|
442
|
499
|
628
|
777
| |
|
Allowance for loan impairment
|
-252
|
-291
|
-326
|
-345
| |
|
Total net loans
|
2 390
|
2 562
|
3 082
|
3 668
| |
|
Total assets
|
3 527
|
3 841
|
4 497
|
5 149
| |
|
Total deposits
|
1 642
|
1 816
|
2 230
|
2 700
| |
|
- Corporate deposits
|
1 115
|
1 231
|
1 489
|
1 789
| |
|
- Retail deposits
|
527
|
584
|
741
|
911
| |
|
Total liabilities
|
2 998
|
3 294
|
3 881
|
4 453
|
* Notes: corporate deposits incl. state deposits
(3) Calculated using net profit and average assets / equity (all including minority interest)
(4) Net interest income divided by average interest earning assets, which include gross loans and advances to customers, due from other banks (gross) and debt securities
(5) Staff costs and administrative expenses divided by operating income before porovisions
(6) Non-performing loans (NPLs) represent impaired loans with repayments overdue by over 90 days. NPLs are calculated including the entire principal and interest payments. Ratio is calculated to total gross loans
The consensus for 6M 2010 and the years 2010-2012 is based on analytical data from 19 investment banks (Alfa Bank, Aton, Bank of America – Merrill Lynch, Bank of Moscow, Citi, Credit Suisse, Deutsche Bank, Goldman Sachs, HSBC, ING, JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, Renaissance Capital, RMG, Sovlink, TKB Capital, Troika Dialog, UBS, UniCredit, as of August 30, 2010.
The forecasts above have been provided to VTB by contributing investment analysts, and are, as such, publicly available information. The forecasts above are not, in any way, based on VTB proprietary forecasts. They are not endorsed by VTB nor does VTB assume any obligation to revise them to reflect circumstances arising after the date below.
Last updated on: 30 August 2010
Analytical consensus
Consensus_ 6M1000.pdf,
18 KB
, 1 September 2010
