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Weekly CPI

Inflation edged up to 6.2% YoY as of 17 February. According to Rosstat, CPI growth for 1–17 February reached 0.46%. Over the reported period, the average daily price growth continued accelerating and edged up to 0.028% (from 0.027% a week ago). Broadly speaking, the driving forces behind CPI growth this week remained as during the previous period, with the key elements (in order of importance) being: onions (+3.7%), potatoes (+2.8% WoW), vodka (+1.3%) and cabbage (+4.2%). Last week’s average daily inflation saw an uptick, despite the fact that vegetable prices started to moderate (we believe this is to become a downward trend in the near future) as the increase in transportation services tariffs, as well as chicken and beef prices, gathered pace and underpinned daily inflation. These factors will likely be temporary and normalise soon. That, along with slower vegetable inflation, would curb headline inflation.
Maxim Korovin, Anton Nikitin
VTB Capital analyst

Rosstat, CPI

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